Rivalry is fierce, but national govt remains possible

13 Sept 08:11 Key points summarised by AI

Despite intense political rivalry and foreseen instability, speculation about a national government persists to achieve post-coronation harmony and avoid traditional post-election troubles.
Both Pheu Thai and pro-Prayut governments face severe challenges, including legal uncertainties, minority coalition risks, potential street protests, and an inability to effectively address national issues due to deep political divides.
Analysts propose a 'semi' national government, potentially involving Palang Pracharat, Pheu Thai, Democrat, and Bhumjaithai parties, to mitigate these issues, though Future Forward's inclusion is seen as unlikely.
Significant obstacles remain for forming such a government, particularly Pheu Thai's reluctance to accept Prayut, suggesting a non-divisive leader might be necessary if it were to materialize.

Speculation growing over merger between Bhumjaithai and Kla Tham parties

Yesterday 16:46 Key points summarised by AI

A dinner between Bhumjaithai and Kla Tham party leaders sparked rumors of a potential merger, though Bhumjaithai's leader, Anutin, downplayed it as a casual meal.
The meeting is widely interpreted as a strategic message from Bhumjaithai to the Pheu Thai party, signaling alternative support ahead of an upcoming no-confidence debate.
Thailand's Constitution (Section 99) currently prohibits direct mergers of parties with sitting MPs during the House's term, a rule designed to prevent the 'buying and selling' of MPs.
While direct mergers are restricted, MPs can still switch parties if dismissed by a three-fourths party vote or if their party dissolves, allowing for indirect political realignments.
Kla Tham's voting behavior in the censure debate will demonstrate its loyalty to the government, potentially influencing future political dynamics despite current merger restrictions.