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Thailand’s export growth drop predicted, SCB's EIC

Thailand’s export growth drop predicted, SCB's EIC

13 Sept 11:54 Key points summarised by AI
  • Thailand's 2019 export growth is now predicted to be flat or contract, following a sharp 5.8% year-on-year decline in May, marking the seventh consecutive month of contraction.
  • Major financial institutions like SCB's EIC and Kasikorn Research Center have significantly revised down their export forecasts, primarily attributing the downturn to the escalating US-China trade war.
  • The trade conflict directly impacts Thai exports, particularly those integrated into Chinese supply chains, with the strong Thai Baht further dampening outbound shipments.
  • Future export performance remains uncertain, contingent on global trade tensions, potential new US tariffs, and the central bank's monetary policy decisions regarding interest rates and the Baht.
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