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Thai exports brace for more challenges despite limited impact from GSP cut

Thai exports brace for more challenges despite limited impact from GSP cut

13 Sept 14:32 Key points summarised by AI
  • The U.S. suspended Generalized System of Preferences (GSP) benefits for 573 Thai product lines, effective April 25, 2020, citing Thailand's failure to adequately provide internationally-recognized worker rights.
  • Despite affecting approximately one-third of Thailand's GSP trade (valued at $4.4 billion in 2018), research from EIC, Commerce Ministry, and Kasikorn Research Center indicates a limited immediate impact on overall Thai exports, estimated at only 0.006-0.012% of total exports.
  • Affected products, including processed seafood, chemicals, and building materials, will face increased tariffs averaging 3.9-4.5%, leading to an estimated $50-52 million in additional costs, with small and medium-sized companies being most vulnerable.
  • Beyond the GSP cut, Thai exports face future uncertainties from potential additional U.S. trade measures (such as currency manipulation monitoring due to Thailand's high current account surplus) and challenges posed by a slowing global economy and a strengthening Thai baht.
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