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Experts say virus outbreak will last months at least

Experts say virus outbreak will last months at least

1 Oct 05:54 Key points summarised by AI
  • Experts estimate the 2019-nCoV outbreak will infect tens of thousands and persist for at least several months, potentially into summer.
  • The virus's dynamics are uncertain due to limited data, especially regarding the potential for asymptomatic transmission, which could significantly alter its spread.
  • The basic reproduction number (R0) is estimated between 1.4 and 3.8, a moderate rate comparable to SARS, not an immediate cause for panic.
  • Control measures such as quarantines and hygiene are vital to reduce the R0, but their impact will take weeks to become evident.
  • The outbreak shares similarities with SARS, offering hope for eventual control, though experts anticipate a prolonged duration.
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