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TISCO slashes Thailand’s GDP forecast for 2020 to 0.8%

TISCO slashes Thailand’s GDP forecast for 2020 to 0.8%

1 Oct 18:13 Key points summarised by AI
  • TISCO's Centre of Economic and Strategic Analysis drastically cut Thailand's 2020 GDP forecast to 0.8% from 1.7%, marking the lowest projection since 2009.
  • The primary driver for this downgrade is the severe impact of the COVID-19 outbreak, projected to cause an 18% drop in tourist arrivals and significantly weaken external and domestic demand.
  • Further economic headwinds include drought, domestic political instability, and a sharp decline in crude oil prices due to an OPEC conflict, posing long-term risks despite short-term benefits.
  • Anticipating continued weak performance, TISCO forecasts the Fiscal Policy Board will cut the benchmark policy rate by another 25 basis points in the second quarter.
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