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Three scenarios for final vote on Thai charter amendment bill

Three scenarios for final vote on Thai charter amendment bill

10 Sept 19:47 Key points summarised by AI
  • Thai Parliament prepares for a contentious final vote on a charter amendment bill, following a Constitutional Court ruling that permits Parliament to draft a new constitution but mandates a national referendum first to confirm public consent.
  • The 'Fast-track' scenario proposes Parliament passes the bill, then holds a referendum within 90-120 days, but this faces significant opposition, particularly from the Senate, making its success unlikely.
  • A 'Delay' scenario suggests lawmakers might postpone the vote to conduct a referendum first or form a panel to study the court's verdict, a move that could buy time for the government and senators but risks public pressure.
  • The 'Most likely' scenario predicts the bill will be defeated by ruling Palang Pracharath MPs and senators who interpret the court ruling as requiring the entire charter amendment process to restart with a prior referendum, potentially leading to renewed political instability.
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