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Battle between Thammanat and coalition govt has no losers (except voters): analysts

Battle between Thammanat and coalition govt has no losers (except voters): analysts

14 Sept 00:57 Key points summarised by AI
  • Thammanat's strategic maneuver: Expelled with 20 MPs, Thammanat is poised to form a new party (Setthakij Thai) linked to Deputy PM Prawit, gaining an "independent" power base and increased leverage for ministerial positions, while escaping blame for election losses.
  • Prayut's tactical advantage: Prime Minister Prayut successfully removed a key rival, solidifying his immediate control over the ruling party. However, this leaves the coalition with a slim parliamentary majority, potentially creating future legislative challenges and reliance on the new Thammanat-aligned faction.
  • Coalition's sustained power: Analysts view the ouster as a strategic move to prolong the coalition's rule, not a genuine split. All political factions, including Thammanat's new group, are expected to continue bargaining for their self-interests within the government, ensuring its stability at the expense of voters.
  • No imminent election: An early general election or House dissolution is improbable due to legal hurdles concerning new electoral laws and no party being prepared for a landslide victory, allowing the current government to extend its term.
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