Bangkok race: How pollsters got it all wrong in 2013

13 Sept 13:39 Key points summarised by AI

Pollsters in 2013 failed to accurately predict the Bangkok gubernatorial election due to the difficult accessibility of affluent voters who often declined interviews or concealed their true preferences.
Exit polls were flawed by surveying only 'early birds,' missing the significant late-voting affluent demographic whose choices diverged from those polled earlier in the day.
The fluctuating 'love-hate' relationship with Thaksin Shinawatra significantly influenced Bangkok's voting patterns, benefiting candidates who aligned with or opposed the prevailing sentiment.
The current Bangkok race shows 'eerily familiar' patterns to 2013, with a leading independent candidate and an underdog rival, prompting pollsters to caution that high name recognition may not translate into actual votes.

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