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Experts weigh chances of Thaksin’s return next week

Experts weigh chances of Thaksin’s return next week

13 Sept 13:07 Key points summarised by AI
  • Fugitive former Prime Minister Thaksin Shinawatra, in self-exile for 15 years, is reportedly set to return to Thailand on August 10, facing 10 years in prison from multiple convictions.
  • Political analysts state Thaksin's successful return hinges on his proxy Pheu Thai party securing three 'gems': legislative power, government power, and mass support, with the latter two currently uncertain.
  • Pheu Thai faces a critical dilemma: forming a government likely requires abandoning its alliance with election-winner Move Forward and partnering with conservative rivals, risking a significant backlash from its own supporters.
  • The conservative establishment may view Thaksin's return as a 'lesser evil' compared to the liberal Move Forward Party, potentially influencing political maneuvering to facilitate his comeback.
  • Despite his daughter's confirmation, skepticism persists due to Thaksin's history of announcing his return at least 19 times over the past 15 years without it materializing.
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