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UTTC cuts Thailand’s growth forecast this year to 2.6%

UTTC cuts Thailand’s growth forecast this year to 2.6%

13 Sept 09:22 Key points summarised by AI
  • The University of the Thai Chamber of Commerce (UTTC) **slashed Thailand's 2024 economic growth forecast to 2.6%** from an earlier 3.2%, citing a fragile recovery, sluggish private investment, and weak consumer purchasing power.
  • Key factors contributing to the reduced outlook include **delayed disbursement of the 2024 national budget** and the lingering impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic combined with higher interest rates.
  • **Q1 saw only 2% growth**, primarily sustained by tourism and exports, with a modest pickup to 2.5% anticipated in Q2 as budget funds begin to disburse.
  • While **Q3 is expected to strengthen to 3.1%** due to projected lending rate declines, Q4 growth is forecast to slow to 2.8% amid high household debt and cautious bank lending.
  • Overall annual growth **could potentially reach 3%** if the 2024 national budget disbursement accelerates and the 'digital wallet' scheme receives swift approval.
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