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TDRI economist foresees reasonable rate cut by end of 2024

TDRI economist foresees reasonable rate cut by end of 2024

13 Sept 15:23 Key points summarised by AI
  • TDRI economist Dr. Kirida Bhaopichitr anticipates a 25-basis-point policy rate cut by the Bank of Thailand by year-end to stimulate Thailand's sluggish economic growth, noting it won't significantly increase inflation.
  • The Thai baht's appreciation to a 30-month high is causing substantial revenue losses for the export sector, though Dr. Kirida points out its tendency to strengthen annually in the last quarter.
  • The baht's 12% appreciation is primarily attributed to a larger-than-expected US Federal Reserve rate cut and significant foreign capital inflows into the Thai stock market and direct investments.
  • Despite currency volatility, Dr. Kirida stresses that maintaining the quality and competitiveness of products and services is crucial for exporters and tourism operators to mitigate impacts and generate revenue.
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