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Kasikorn Research: Earthquake may cost Bt20 billion, hit tourism and real estate
AI In-brief 14 Sept 22:51

Kasikorn Research: Earthquake may cost Bt20 billion, hit tourism and real estate

  • The Myanmar earthquake is estimated to inflict Bt20 billion in economic damage, potentially reducing Thailand's GDP forecast by 0.06% to under 2.4%.
  • The real estate market faces shifts, with horizontal housing possibly benefiting from safety concerns over skyscrapers, while Bangkok condominium sales are expected to decline further.
  • Thailand's tourism sector anticipates a significant drop in foreign tourist arrivals, necessitating a downward revision of the 37.5 million projection for the year.
  • The Bank of Thailand's Monetary Policy Board may accelerate interest rate cuts, possibly as early as April, in response to the earthquake's economic impact and ongoing trade war pressures.
  • Non-performing loans (NPLs) in the real estate and construction sectors are projected to rise again by the end of the year.
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