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Can current Anutin’s reign be even shorter than expected?
AI In-brief 27 Sept 23:04

Can current Anutin’s reign be even shorter than expected?

  • Anutin Charnvirakul, the 'minority' prime minister, may strategically dissolve the House of Representatives early to preempt a censure motion, leveraging his current political advantages and an untarnished image.
  • Rival parties, particularly Pheu Thai and the People's Party, face a dilemma: Pheu Thai might initiate censure but is unprepared for an early election, while the People's Party risks political damage by censuring a government it helped form.
  • A snap election would strategically disadvantage Pheu Thai, which lacks strong prime ministerial candidates, and the People's Party, whose support is sentiment-driven, while also catching smaller, fractured parties off guard.
  • Future election outcomes could lead to a potential alliance between the People's Party and Pheu Thai, or if they fail to secure a combined majority, smaller parties like Anutin's Bhumjaithai could gain significant leverage in forming a new government.
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